November 6, 2016
Two days before the general election, Hillary Clinton leads rival Donald Trump by four points in the presidential race, which entered a last-minute frenzy ahead of Tuesday’s vote.
A new Wall Street Journal/NBC News poll Sunday said Clinton is leading 44 percent to 40 percent with likely voters in a four-way race. The poll, which the pollsters said was their final, also took into account the standings of Libertarian Gary Johnson at 6 percent, and Green Party candidate Jill Stein at 2 percent.
In a head-to-head match, Democratic Clinton is up 5 points from Republican Trump, 48 percent to 43 percent.
Clinton’s lead has shrunk from the last Wall Street Journal/NBC News poll that was published in October, where she held an 11-point lead with 48 percent to 37.
The drop of 7% points is seen as an effect of the decision of the new investigation against her alleged email scandal, following which support for Trump has surged.
“Much of the change from mid-October comes from Trump winning an increased share of the vote within his own party, which brought him on par with Clinton’s support among Democrats,” The Wall Street Journal said.
Conducted from Nov. 3-5, with 1,282 likely voters interviewed, the poll has findings with a margin of error of 2.7 percentage points.
The Democratic candidate also has a lead with women voters over the Republican nominee in a two-way race, 53-percent to 38 percent. Trump, however, leads with men, 47 percent to 42 percent.
Among African-American voters, Clinton is ahead with 86 percent to Trump’s 7 percent. Clinton leads Latino voters with 65 percent to 20.
Trump, however, leads with white voters, 53 to 38 percent. White voters without a college degree support Trump more than Clinton, 60 percent to 30, while white voters with a college degree lean toward Clinton, 51 percent to 41 percent.
Significantly, Clinton is leading among early voters — a push she has made for the past several weeks —with 53 percent to 39 percent. Trump is leading with voters who plan to cast their ballot on Election Day though, with 48 to 41 percent.
If Clinton wins the election, the majority of voters will be OK with her as president. Fifty-two percent of likely voters said they are comfortable and prepared if Clinton makes it to the White House, compared to the 46 percent who said they would not be comfortable.
On the other side, if Trump wins, 43 percent of likely voters said they would be comfortable with him as president, with 54 percent saying they would be uncomfortable.
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2016 Election
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